Mean = 8 gives x+y=14.
Variance = 16 gives (x−8)2+(y−8)2=4.
Solving: x=8, y=6 (since x>y).
Set becomes {1,2,3,4,6,5}={1,2,3,4,5,6}.
Total ways to choose 2 numbers = (26)=15.
Favorable cases (smaller <4): smaller = 1 gives 5 pairs, smaller = 2 gives 4 pairs, smaller = 3 gives 3 pairs.
Total favorable = 12.
Probability =1512=54.