A speaks the truth in 70% of cases, so A lies in 30% of cases.
B lies in 40% of cases, so B speaks the truth in 60% of cases.
Therefore:
- P(A tells truth) = 107
- P(A lies) = 103
- P(B tells truth) = 53
- P(B lies) = 52
For A and B to say the same thing while describing a single event, either both tell the truth or both lie.
P(Both tell truth) = P(A tells truth) × P(B tells truth)
=107×53
=5021
P(Both lie) = P(A lies) × P(B lies)
=103×52
=506
P(They say the same thing) = P(Both tell truth) + P(Both lie)
=5021+506
=5027
Therefore, the probability that they will say the same thing is 5027.