"Our decisions and actions are never divorced from our past" -> Author directly states we don't have free will because past influences us
"We have a conditioned mind. Our memories, past impressions and experiences bias and shape our thoughts" -> Further proves option 1.
Option 2 -> No mention of pre-determined choices
Option 3 -> Irrational choices not discussed
Option 4 -> Social expectations not mentioned as main reason
Note: The answer is literally in the first paragraph! Always read the opening carefully.